Are We Really Rational Beings After All?

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Sunday, 7.51pm

Sheffield, U.K.

It has been said that man is a rational animal. All my life I have been searching for evidence which could support this. – Bertrand Russell

Economic theory from around the nineteenth century held that human beings were rational, self-interested creatures that pursued strategies that were optimal.

This was the world of economic man – Homo economicus.

In the 1970s and 80s we were introduced to behavioural economics that suggested more factors affected decision making than a cold blooded assessment of the costs and benefits – we had to look at psychology, cognition, emotion, culture and social elements as well.

I accepted this as the case, and so it was a little jarring when I listened Dr Doug Lisle talk about decision making.

For example, he talked about why we do anything – and there are three reasons which he calls the motivational triad.

First, we do things because we seek pleasure – with the main things for animals being food and sex.

Second, we avoid pain.

And third, we conserve energy and try to be as efficient as possible in how we acquire resources so that we increase the chances of survival.

For humans in particular, in addition to sex and food, we should probably add some kind of cognitive reward category – because we watch TV and read for mental pleasure – something that we don’t have in common with sharks.

Anyway.

Dr Lisle talks about how when we’re making decisions we’re really running several complicated simulations or scenarios to work out how to maximise pleasure, minimise pain, and conserve energy.

That’s a pretty rational way to act, if you think about it.

Let’s say you’re in a meeting trying to get a group to agree to do something.

Maybe you want them to choose Option A. You know that’s the best thing for the company.

But they stall, they complain, they hesitate – they just don’t seem willing to commit.

Why is that?

The chances are that you haven’t pushed their motivating buttons.

Does the decision help them gain pleasure or avoid pain?

In a corporate situation the pain is probably something that has to be done but just takes a long time or is hard to do.

Like cleaning out toilets.

You could dig a hole and clean it by hand but you’re more likely to approve a proposal to install proper toilets.

But when it’s not that clear and obvious maybe we should look at the energy conservation element.

If you want them to do something – follow a process, fill in paperwork, report regularly – and the effect is to make their job harder or take longer or be less efficient then they’ll push back.

Even if it’s better for the organisation as a whole if it’s worse for them, then they’ll avoid the choice.

What you see as irrational behaviour might actually be your inability to see the rationality at play.

But, we have to admit that there are situations where we don’t make rational choices.

Is that our fault?

I’m not sure.

I think we’re neurologically wired to make good choices. That’s how we’ve survived.

What’s happened, however, is that we’ve changed our environment faster than we’ve changed our brains.

If you have a porch light you’ll see moths at night flying towards the light.

In the old days, when the light was hot they might even die.

That’s not rational, is it?

Except, for the moth, it is.

They’ve evolved to seek the brightest source of light in the sky at night – which is the moon, and by flying up they know that they’re going to find clear space to navigate.

Then we installed all these mini moons everywhere and messed up their perfectly rational strategy.

Our brains are similarly perfectly wired for the natural conditions of a few tens of thousands of years ago.

But now, civilisation and industrialisation have changed our world, so our old navigation systems don’t work anymore – not all the time anyway.

What we think we should do is not always the right choice in this new world.

This means that for those of us that have to work with others to make collective decisions and experience that frustration you feel when they just can’t arrive at the conclusion you know is right may have to change the way we approach the situation.

We have to realise that one of two things may be happening.

  1. We may be unable to see their rationality.
  2. Their rationality may no longer be suitable for the decision situation.

We have to change, or they have to.

And we have to be wise enough to know which one needs to be done.

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

Holding Onto Hope In a Dead Universe

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Saturday, 8.14pm

Sheffield, U.K.

The heat death of the universe (also known as the Big Chill or Big Freeze)[1][2] is a hypothesis on the ultimate fate of the universe, which suggests the universe will evolve to a state of no thermodynamic free energy, and will therefore be unable to sustain processes that increase entropy. – Wikipedia

I started reading Will Storr’s “The science of storytelling” today.

It starts by asking why humans think there is any point in anything given that the universe will eventually just lie down and die – that heat death will come to all.

He thinks that we tell ourselves stories to keep going – that’s the way in which we make sense of the lives we have.

If you look towards the world of biology instead, we’re programmed, like all animals, to maximise the changes of our genes surviving, presumably with an eye to lasting until the end of everything.

But does that have to be the end?

You might think that with a few years before all this happens – one followed by a thousand zeros or so – some enterprising soul will figure out how to avoid impending catastrophe.

The stars going out one by one is surely a problem that’s a little like the lights going out across an entire country’s electricity grid.

In case you don’t know much about power stations there are a few that have big yellow boxes on site that are there to provide a “black start” capability.

Recovery from an absolute blackout, that is.

One hopes that a scientist will figure out how to bang things together and make new suns, perhaps that’s the way to get out of all this.

Or is that wishful thinking?

Perhaps we should watch to see if the human intelligence that makes it possible to see the impending end of the universe can save our planet in the short term.

If we do, then perhaps there is chance after all.

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

What Makes Humans Different From Animals

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Friday, 5.47pm

Sheffield, U.K.

Every man is said to have his peculiar ambition. Whether it be true or not, I can say, for one, that I have no other so great as that of being truly esteemed of my fellow-men, by rendering myself worthy of their esteem. How far I shall succeed in gratifying this ambition is yet to be developed. – Abraham Lincoln

I watched a video by Dr Doug Lisle that was an interesting refutation to Jordan Peterson’s concept of dominance hierarchies.

Peterson argues that we’re hardwired to look to dominate hierarchies.

Lisle argues that we look for esteem – and these might sound similar but they’re not.

In dominance, the bigger animal fights and wins.

With esteem, the person that does the most for the village is elevated.

One is a personal thing.

The other is a social thing.

And that’s why comparing humans to lobsters, as Peterson does, might miss the real lesson.

We’re all jockeying, not for dominance, but for esteem.

The more you do for others…

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

p.s. The reason I really like Lisle is because of the way he uses drawings in his presentations.

What Really Makes You Dangerous?

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Thursday, 7.37pm

Sheffield, U.K.

I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times. – Bruce Lee

I have a new toy.

It’s unopened. I’m saving that for the weekend, but it’s a pretty nerdy thing.

It’s a Devterm from ClockWorkPi – a handheld computer that runs Linux and works off batteries.

An A5 notebook size “retro-entertainment” terminal.

It joins several, relatively low-cost computers that I’ve acquired over the years, although my main machines are a decent desktop computer and a Framework laptop.

The thing that unites all the things I buy is that they can be built and fixed – you can repair the Framework, the Devterm has open specs and you can 3d print parts for it and a desktop lets you choose parts and put them together.

It’s the opposite of the closed boxes the leading manufacturers sell, which really aren’t designed to be opened – once they die you throw them away.

That’s what’s happening to the Microsoft Surfaces that have died on me.

Closed boxes are not a good thing to get hooked onto.

That goes for computers. It goes for phones. It goes for the cloud and all that stuff as well.

You really need to have some say in the technology that you use.

Well, that’s not true. Many people are happy buying technology and not knowing anything more about it than that there’s a big company behind it and the software lets you do cool stuff.

It’s like some of the AI tools we see now. Text to video sounds amazing. You tell it to make a dancing bear and there it is.

No need for anyone to create and animate that thing – it’s just there.

I mean… just look at this stuff.

From a text prompt!

Entertainment is just going to explode – and the imaginary worlds we live in are going to get so much more attractive than these boring ones out here.

We have two options.

We can be consumers of content.

Or we can be creators that use these new tools that let us tell stories better.

What do you think we should work on?

And which tools should we use? Closed boxes or open ones?

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

How Does One Learn To Teach These Days?

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Wednesday, 8.06pm

Sheffield, U.K.

If you’re teaching today what you were teaching five years ago, either the field is dead or you are. – Noam Chomsky

I want to learn to teach – a little like I wanted to learn how to write a few years ago.

It’s for a selfish reason, of course.

There’s no better way to understand something than trying to teach it to someone else.

It’s when you first try and say words that you hope make sense and find that they don’t – when your student looks at you with part blank incomprehension, part pity and part irritation – that you realise you have two choices.

You can stop and never do this again.

Or you can try again and get better.

The pandemic taught us how hard it is to teach our children – and I’m amazed that teachers get through what they do at school.

But, if we’re being honest, they don’t actually get through a great deal.

A lot of the day is spent, I think, taking names, and waiting, and going to and fro.

When I was teaching the kids at home we finished the day’s work they had to do in the first couple of hours, usually before the working day actually began, because we had work to sort out as well.

That was partly because teaching the way we learned didn’t work.

You can’t just give someone a book these days and tell them to spend some time and go figure it out.

There’s a process, an intro activity, a build up, some other stuff, and then eventually the kids sit down and get on with the work.

We didn’t have time for that.

Instead, I discovered flipped teaching.

This is where you make a video of what you want to teach. The kids watch it. And then you give them the work to do.

This is because it takes you half an hour to get them to sit down and listen to you if you try and teach them properly.

Pop a video in front of them and they’ll watch it happily.

As a rule of thumb, a 2-3 minute video can get across what you’ll do in 15-20 minutes trying to teach it live.

If you use the 1-take format, where you hit record, say your stuff, hit stop, and are done – you can create content pretty quickly.

Plus, by recording your teaching up front, you don’t need to put on a performance – it’s already done – you can get on and facilitate learning.

The place where I’ve learned the most about this approach is from Lodge McCammon and the flipped classroom. Unfortunately, the videos that teach the elements of flipped classrooms seem to be slowly disappearing off the Internet, which I suppose is the problem with video resources rather than text.

But, there has also been quite a lot of technological change in the last ten years.

It’s a lot easier to use digital technology to create videos than it was.

But teaching is not about production, although it can be.

Michael Wesch, for example, creates amazing teaching videos that looks like hours of effort went into them.

But it’s not easy to maintain that level of output.

Anyway, so this is what I’m thinking.

Try out an approach to teaching that uses flipped teaching methods with Free software.

And see what I learn.

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

Working On A Thesis

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Tuesday, 9.14pm

Sheffield, U.K.

In 1903, I finished my doctor’s thesis and obtained the degree. At the end of the same year, the Nobel prize was awarded jointly to Becquerel, my husband and me for the discovery of radioactivity and new radioactive elements. – Marie Curie

I haven’t laid down any words on my thesis so far this year.

Last year I made some progress – sparked in part by the method I use on this blog – draw something and use that drawing as a way to explore an idea.

Today’s drawing is from a throwaway comment on Mastodon – where I wrote that writing a thesis is like doing a 10,000 piece jigsaw where you first have to make the pieces.

This is literally the case. I need around 10,000 sentences and each one needs to be crafted and arranged in the right place. Or at least in a suitable place.

So how do you make progress. How do I move on from where I am so I can get this document written?

If you have any advice, I’d like to hear it, but in the meantime the purpose of this post is to figure out the next piece to make.

I’m working in a field called Operations Research.

The idea is that we can use scientific methods to make organisations work more effectively.

Some of those methods are quantitative – like figuring out how to reduce queues or manage logistics.

Other methods are qualitative – what strategy should we follow, how do we get people to work together more effectively?

That’s more what I’m interested in.

And I probably need to explain why that matters – what’s the purpose of my research.

This is the next piece.

It seems to me that the world is asking for two types of work.

Which should remind you of the joke – there are three kinds of people in the world, those who can count, and those who can’t.

Moving on.

The first kind of work is finished work. Work that is meant to be consumed. Work like movies, advertisements, books, products of all stripes.

These are things that are done, that are finished. All you have to do is buy them and enjoy them.

Your only decision is yes or no. Is this right for you or not?

This is the world of production and marketing, where a polished presentation of the thing is needed to persuade people who want or need the thing to buy the thing.

The second kind of work is uncertain, unknown or complex work.

This is where we don’t know what we need to do, what the right thing is, what would help us in this situation.

We need help figuring it out. In many cases we have to understand what we want or need before we can get on and make that thing.

This is the world of exploration and innovation – where we discover what is needed and create new products and services to meet those needs.

The tools and techniques I’m researching are about helping with discovery – with finding out what is needed in the world but which doesn’t exist right now.

It’s knowledge that helps us build new products and services, and create new opportunities and new businesses.

So that’s the area I’m working on, and the next section to write is for me to describe how my research helps make this happen.

Does that sound useful and/or interesting?

I hope so.

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

We All Dance For Someone

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Monday, 9.27pm

Sheffield, U.K.

The idea of dancing is the only thing that scares me. – Johnny Depp

There is a series on Amazon Prime called “Panchayat”, a back to the village comedy that many people might find hard to appreciate.

Other than the billion or so people in India, of course.

It has, like the best comedies, penetrating flashes of insight into the human condition.

In one scene the main character asks a dancer why she does this job – the village equivalent of dancing on a table at a bar.

Everyone dances for someone, she points out.

Think about that for a second.

The vast majority of us are beholden to others, we dance to their tune.

We get paid to do so.

At what point did this happen?

Somewhere between being a slug and going to the moon there was a point when we invented a social structure that kept us in place, vibrating just enough not to complain and bring the structure down.

So what’s the takeaway here?

You wouldn’t think this if to look at me but I used to teach dance once.

It wasn’t that I was good at it – I was really pretty bad.

And that was pointed out to me.

Which made me a little mad. Ok. A lot mad.

So I practiced. And I got better. And I got good.

I haven’t done it now for ages – because life has moved on and other things became more important.

So the takeaway is this.

If you have to dance – get good at it.

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

Where Do You Spend Most Of Your Time?

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Sunday, 7pm

Sheffield, U.K.

The only reason for time is so that everything doesn’t happen at once. – Albert Einstein

We watched “Race across the world” recently and one of the scenes that stuck with me is where a participant helps a farmer get their oven ready and bake some bread – and is overwhelmed by the simplicity and purity of that life.

It might also be rather boring if you had to do it day in and day out.

A documentary on the increasing use of anti-anxiety medication remarks on how we spend more and more of our lives in our heads.

Well, in a sense, that’s all we do – everything we experience is really constructed our brains.

But more generally, our lives are not so much lived as spent watching screens.

We spend around 7 hours a day on screens – both for work and for entertainment.

The difficulty is that settling down and enjoying something on a screen – a game, a movie, a series – is almost always the easiest thing to do.

And therefore it’s perhaps the preferred thing to do.

It’s windy and cold out. Do you want to go for a walk? Or would you rather just watch something?

It’s always easier to do the easy thing.

That’s why water heads downhill.

This experience from our personal lives also happens in social and work situations.

It’s easier to go along with bad processes than to try and change them.

Sometimes things are the way they are because it was easier to do them this way than a different one – if things are hard to do you’ll find that people will just stop doing them.

Take commuting to work, for example.

It’s bad for you – we typically put on a couple of pounds – or a kilo or so a year for every year of a job with a long commute.

Staying at home isn’t perfect either.

Some of the mental health impacts include “less motivation, body image, depressing/negative content, vicarious living, mood swings, no social interaction, reclusiveness, dependency on screens, habitual use, arguing online, jealousy of others, feeling unproductive, guilt, toxic people online, socially anxious, hard to switch off, irritable, distracting, losing attention span.”

Trying to make all these variables work is a little like baking bread.

It’s actually quite simple to make bread – flour and water, knead for a while until it feels right, and give it some heat.

But of course, the kind of flour matters. Salt might help. Yeast makes a difference. The amount of time you spend stretching and kneading affects the quality of the loaf.

Knowing what I now know I think trying to figure out what to do with your time has to start with the basics.

Try and make a recipe that does three things.

First, optimise for health: get your food right and build movement into your day.

Second, optimise for relationships: make time for people because it’s easy to slip into a world of your own.

Third, optimise for peace of mind. You’ll know when you have that.

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

Tools That Help You Understand Where You Are Right Now

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Saturday, 7.05pm

Sheffield, U.K.

For a lot of people, one of the reasons they don’t like to work for founders of startups is that they can be sensitive and protective around what they’ve built. You have an emotional attachment to the early marketing and technology materials, and you don’t want to hear that anything’s wrong with them. – Lynn Jurich

I watched Stutz again today – the documentary by actor Jonah Hill about the methods used by his psychotherapist Phil Stutz.

I’m most interested in the fact that Stutz draws models to help people work through situations – each model is a hand-drawn visual on an index card that captures a particular idea – that there’s a shadow that you are avoiding, a maze you might be stuck in and so on.

One of the ideas that jumped out at me this time around when watching was the idea of attachment.

Attachment is something that plays quite a big part in Eastern philosophy – we’re taught that it’s not a good thing.

Do your work without being attached to the results, for example.

If you take this idea to its logical conclusion you end up with an instruction to be attached to nothing – not material stuff, not relationships with friends, not even family.

Some people take this instruction literally, stories from the East are full of tales of wandering mendicants, travelling saints and gods who left everything, have nothing, who avoid any form of attachment altogether.

What do you make of this story, for example.

A boy bird and girl bird meet, fall in love, set up a nest together and have some baby birds.

One day when they’re out looking for food a hunter sees them and finds the nest, and sets a trap.

The parent birds, seeing their babies caught in the trap, try to rescue them and the mum gets caught as well.

The dad bird, desperate at all his family being caught, tries to rescue them and gets caught as well.

The hunter, having achieved his aims, goes home happy, has a nice meal and goes to bed.

The end.

Okay, so what’s the lesson here?

Are you slightly unhappy that the birds didn’t win – that the hunter got his way in the end?

Did you have chicken for dinner this evening?

Is it that the parent birds shouldn’t have gotten together because if they hadn’t been attached to family then they wouldn’t have had to suffer the loss of their children?

Would that have been a good outcome?

Sociology and biology suggest not.

Biologically, the only purpose living beings appear to have is to keep living – to create new beings in their image and pass on their genes.

Sociologically, we know how unhappy people get when they’re alone.

Perhaps the lesson is more subtle than that.

Being aware of how attached you are prepares you to think more clearly about your situation.

What would you do if it all went bad?

How would you feel if it all ended – if you were in the position of the birds?

What would you do differently if you acknowledged the possibility that the situation you have is temporary, that it could all end – would you treat the people in your life differently?

Would you make different choices knowing that what you have could vanish at any time?

Conversely, if you stare the fact that things can end in the face, would you be less attached to things than you are right now.

You might have created a thing – a new process, a technique – something that you really like but that is now not really as good as alternatives?

Can you let go?

When I was growing up the stories I was told was that attachment was literally a bad thing – you had to be unattached to be happy.

It’s something that people from my culture and background probably take for granted.

But maybe that’s not the real lesson.

The lesson is that we have to be able to visualise the outcomes – both good and bad – that we might encounter.

That’s where the tools come in – to help us do that.

And now knowing that – try and make better choices about what we do next.

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh

Why You Have To Know Something About Something

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Friday, 8.32pm

Sheffield, U.K.

Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing. – Warren Buffett

Do you have children? Do you despair that they’re spending all their time consuming mindless junk on YouTube? Do you worry they’re just wasting their time?

Have you considered the possibility that you might be wrong?

I learn by reading – I always have – and I am old enough to remember a time when some people knew stuff and other people didn’t – and the ones who knew stuff were the ones that read.

Times have changed.

If you watch the latest episode of anything on TV – say it’s the new Percy Jackson on Disney Plus – do you think you know what’s going on?

You don’t.

One of the small people in my house watches something and then goes on to YouTube to watch forensic dissections of the episode, analyses that highlight subtle clues and connect seemingly insignificant events to the wider story universe in which the episode just makes up a fragment.

He knows more about it than I do.

Admittedly, more than I want to, but more nonetheless.

And I see this with other people, where I’ve researched or studied or understood something to the point where it is only possible to discuss it with others that have a sufficient amount of shared background knowledge.

Blagging is less possible these days.

Easy access to information makes it possible for you to learn about anything and everything, from stock market investing strategies to movie theory.

So when you don’t know something but try to come across as if you do, it’s painfully obvious to the experts in the room – some of whom might be your grandchildren.

Or grandparents.

Expertise isn’t about age – it’s about the information you’ve consumed.

For example, I can tell if someone understands a particular commodity market and has a good trading strategy.

But I also remember when I talked about something in a different equity market that I didn’t understand with a friend who did.

I was given some polite advice that I didn’t listen to – that particular investment ended in a total loss when the company went into administration.

In that situation, not knowing what I didn’t know had a real financial cost – I lost real money on that decision.

I have learned, as a result, to be more conscious of my own limitations.

There are three situations to watch out for.

The first one is easy – if I don’t know something I say I don’t know.

The second is somewhat straightforward.

If I do know something I say that I’m pretty certain.

The third has to do with the vast quantity of stuff that I really don’t know whether I know anything about or not.

In that case I have to do two things: I have to be willing to learn; and I have to be willing to experiment, take risks and lose.

Not lose big. Lose small, ideally.

But learn big.

After all, in a knowledge economy your only edge is your ability to learn – and to be useful because of what you know.

Cheers,

Karthik Suresh